Hunting for a Hard-to-Find Item?
If you’ve found our site while searching for a rare or high-demand item, feel free to call or message us! We’re happy to set it aside for you.
While we do our best to keep our online listings updated, some books may sell out in our physical shop before changes are reflected online. We appreciate your understanding and are here to help!
Description
The International Bestseller by 'The Galileo of number crunchers' (Independent)
Every time we choose a route to work, decide whether to go on a second date, or set aside money for a rainy day, we are making a prediction about the future. Yet from the financial crisis to ecological disasters, we routinely fail to foresee hugely significant events, often at great cost to society. The rise of 'big data' has the potential to help us predict the future, yet much of it is misleading, useless or distracting.
In The Signal and the Noise, the New York Times political forecaster Nate Silver, who accurately predicted the results of every state in the 2012 US election, reveals how we can all develop better foresight in an uncertain world. From the stock market to the poker table, from earthquakes to the economy, he takes us on an enthralling insider's tour of the high-stakes world of forecasting, showing how we can all learn to detect the true signals amid a noise of data.
'Remarkable and rewarding' Matthew D'Ancona, Sunday Telegraph
'A lucid explanation of how to think probabilistically' Guardian
Sending a gift with Ribbon
Give the gift of Ever After Books
Make someone's day with a personalized gift from Ever After Books.
Send via Gift Link
Your recipient will get a link where they can enter their address. Know where the gift is going? Send directly to address
We will give you a link you can share with the recipient.
Send via Gift Link
Your recipient will get a link where they can enter their address. Know where the gift is going? Send directly to address
Title
Send via Gift Link
Your recipient will get a link where they can make choices and enter their address
We will give you a link you can share with the recipient.
Hunting for a Hard-to-Find Item?
If you’ve found our site while searching for a rare or high-demand item, feel free to call or message us! We’re happy to set it aside for you.
While we do our best to keep our online listings updated, some books may sell out in our physical shop before changes are reflected online. We appreciate your understanding and are here to help!